This past Saturday night, UFC Fight Night delivered a mix of surprises, dominant performances, and a few head-scratchers. Let’s break down the results and see how they stacked up against my pre-fight predictions.
Main Event: Kamaru Usman vs. Joaquin Buckley
Prediction: Usman via decision
Result: Usman via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
I called this one spot on. Usman’s wrestling base was always going to be the deciding factor against Buckley, who thrives on explosive striking but struggles against elite grapplers. Usman’s ability to control the fight on the ground for four rounds was textbook. Buckley showed some late adjustments in the fifth round, defending takedowns and landing strikes, but by then, the damage was done. Usman’s performance wasn’t flashy, but it was effective—a reminder that high-level defense and control can win fights.
This win puts Usman back in the conversation for a title shot, and while his knees remain a topic of debate, his fight IQ and grit are undeniable.
Co-Main Event: Rose Namajunas vs. Miranda Maverick
Prediction: Namajunas
Result: Namajunas via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Another correct call. Namajunas showcased her grappling chops, controlling Maverick on the ground and threatening submissions throughout the fight. Maverick’s left leg injury in the third round was unfortunate, but Namajunas was already ahead on the scorecards by then. This win solidifies her push for a flyweight title shot, and her ability to adapt to Maverick’s aggression was impressive.
Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Andre Petroski
Prediction: Shahbazyan via TKO finish
Result: Shahbazyan via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Three for three! Shahbazyan’s technical striking was the key to victory here. Petroski’s inability to close distance and secure takedowns played right into Shahbazyan’s game plan. While the fight lacked fireworks, Shahbazyan’s precision and control were enough to earn the win.
Alonzo Menifield vs. Oumar Sy
Prediction: Menifield via KO
Result: Menifield via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
This was the underdog pick of the night at a +500. Menifield’s ability to grind out a win against Sy was predictable, though the fight itself lacked excitement. Both fighters poked with single shots, and Menifield’s slight edge in activity earned him the victory.
Final Thoughts
Overall, my picks were spot on, with every fight playing out pretty close to as expected. The night highlighted the importance of studying tape and understanding matchups. Usman’s return to form was the story of the night, proving that even after setbacks, elite fighters can adapt and evolve.
For those who followed my advice, congratulations on a profitable night. And for those who didn’t—well, as I always say, "If you’re not studying tape, you’re just guessing."
Until next time, fight fans, keep grinding, keep studying, and remember: the Octagon never lies.